Drag-and-drop exercise: place candidate policies on the effectiveness × feasibility grid and defend your calls.
Five policy buckets, two axes, one exception. Where does each bucket sit — and why?
Drag each bucket onto the plane, then check. Hover anything — chips, corners, axes — for the reasoning.
The five policy buckets — drag onto the plane
Self-governance
Domestic regulation
Transparency coordination
Conditional (if/then) pause
Full pause
Effectiveness at deterring ASI development →
High
Med
Low
the empty corner
worst of both
Low
Med
High
Feasibility — verification burden + political climate →
Always think about policy in terms of tradeoffs — price them, don’t pick favorites.
Design for the hardest case. Verification strong enough to support a full pause — chip registries, compute metering, inspection rights — supports every weaker bucket for free. The reverse is not true. That is why this track studies verification against the pause, even if what gets signed first is transparency.