A scenario exercise, 2026–2034: build a verification regime while the world keeps moving.
Every AI treaty lives or dies on one question: can states see what their rivals are actually building? But seeing costs — money, sovereignty, secrets — and even a well-built regime only buys you odds. Click the 2026 node and play the distribution.
Timelines 0/3 · Endings 0/2
THE RACETHE PAPER TREATYTRUST, BUT VERIFYFAILURE MODES
PATH A · THE RACE
PATH B · THE PAPER TREATY
PATH C · TRUST, BUT VERIFY
FAILURE MODES
UNCONTROLLED ASI
STABLE REGIME
Faded nodes are unexplored — reach them through the timeline
hypothetical, not a forecast · the game theory is the durable part · Schelling · Axelrod